How soon will we discover ETs out there?
It is simple. The answer can be found by using the Drake equation:
N = R* × fp × ne × fl × fi × fc × L
- N is the number of extraterrestrial civilizations in our galaxy with which we might expect to be able to communicate
and
- R* is the rate of star formation in our galaxy
- fp is the fraction of those stars which have planets
- ne is average number of planets which can potentially support life per star that has planets
- fl is the fraction of the above which actually go on to develop life
- fi is the fraction of the above which actually go on to develop intelligent life
- fc is the fraction of the above which are willing and able to communicate
- L is the expected lifetime of such a civilisation
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